Thursday Night Football from Arizona, the Cardinals -6.5, -280, team total 29. The Packers +235, team total 22.5. What jumps out immediately is the biggest underdog I’ve seen the Packers as for a while. Green Bay at 24 a game and the number 22.5 for their team. What I gotta guess is that is respect the guys in the desert feel not just the offense but the defense for the Cardinals may be able to control this game as well. Looking at the time of possession Arizona 3rd in the league actually just over 32 minutes per game, but 4th in the league in percent of run plays. What we have had is sustaining long drives and when those drives don’t end in punts they end in the end zone. If the spread is indicative of anything we also see 65 % of the consensus money on Arizona early which is curious because the Packers in general are good against the spread, and are in fact 6-1 just as Arizona is.
Arizona putting up 32 a game, still some respect for the team total at 29 or the move it made with the spread from 3.5-6.5. Arizona 3-4 on the over/under, while Green Bay 2-5. Rodgers has seen the Cards 4 times, 7 TD, 2 INT, a 2-2 record. In 2018 a 20-17 loss, and 2015 a 38-8 loss, after winning the first two in blowout fashion. All four of those games would’ve been under the total for this one. With all the respect we see and really the only way I can say in my mind I see an Arizona cover is if the game was tied and they score where it lines up at touchdowns instead of field goals at the end of the scoring with them being the last team to score.
I’ll be back game day with a prediction…
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