Tampa -11 on the road in Atlanta, 31 the team total for the Bucs, 19.5 for the Falcons. Really the expectations here are all on Tampa , the heavy line and inflated team total as well. Brady is 7-0 vs Ryan all time, including one this year already. Tampa is the top scoring team in the league at 31.5, they are allowing 23 a game. The first matchup in Tampa went 45-28 in a game that went 28-25 and ended all Bucs to close things out, 3-0 now with Tampa Bay for Brady.
Atlanta has now lost enough and not been able to compete at the top level that it appears that when Patterson isn’t healthy and a few other times they may have a few roster upgrades needed to reach that playoff team/contender. Only 18.1 a game scoring while allowing 27.5, with that average of losing by almost ten a game they will be focused on improving and getting better week to week.
The cover of the huge spread in the divisional game may or may not happen. Anyone who watched the game in Indy last week can see that Tampa is starting to click on all cylinders as the running backs are healthy as well. The last two wins have been by 17 and 23 points respectively, the one before that only a four point win last year in the Georgia Dome. I’m not so sure there is an advantage to be had in laying the spread or in the Team Total as its a half point in what they score vs the number. My prediction 24-30 Tampa Bay wins.