Where is the best bets this year?
Detroit Tigers Under : The Tigers are 34-54 on the over/under
Where is the profitability with the Dodgers? Thus far is been on the run line and the UNDER. The Dodgers 52-37 for a profit of 1373 on the run line for the first half, whereas they are only +247 on the money line this year. Likewise the total play has been the UNDER in Dodgers games this year with a 33-46 OVER/UNDER record.
The Mets are making profit all across the board, +455 at Home, +750 on the road, +986 Run Line. With them in a heated division race with the defending World Series Champs they don’t have room to let up and as long as they stay healthy they should continue to be profitable.
The Yankees at home : +901 and likely to need to keep winning in a home field in playoffs race with Houston. The Yanks are +287 on the road and -59 on the RUN LINE.
Baltimore the leaders in MLB in profit so far this year. The biggest profit 59-32 for +2074 on the RUN LINE, 25-17 at home for +1286.
Houston continues to be the biggest threat to the Yankees mainly because they have the starting arms and the bullpen. 32-52 on the O/U as UNDER has been the big profits for them. Profits across the board for the Astros in the first half and with them contending with the Yankees its very likely to continue.
Seattle came from no where to be in a Wild Card spot at the moment. While they may not be able to catch Houston they do figure to be in the hunt for a Wild Card position. This may translate into them being profitable 2nd half of the season
Rockies at home, Colorado +763 at home and losing money every where else thus far.
Rangers RUN LINE, Texas 52-37 for a profit of +873 on the RUN LINE
Road Warriors? Mets, Mariners, Astros, White Sox and Orioles all in the profit on the Road this year.
Division Winners: Who can come from behind and win their division? Though I don’t like the actual futures bet of having your money tied up until the end of the season.
White Sox +135 now whereas preseason they were -200 to win the division. This team has got their key players back from injury and has the AL leader in strikeouts with an All-Star snub as motivation in Dylan Cease. Look for the White Sox to be better than they were and while they will continue to be huge favorites at home of -150 to -200 they may do better than they did going 19-25 for a -972 loss the first half as they were just not able to generate enough run support in some of those games.
Cardinals +130, while catching the Brewers won’t be easy as Milwaukee has a home heavy 2nd half of the season but the Cardinals players have set winning the division as a goal. They went 22-7 in September last year so the best may be ahead for the Red Birds.
Braves +125, on the heels of the Mets and figure to be in position to compete with them the rest of the way. Last year August was 18-8 for the Braves its a long season we will see if they can overtake the Mets or if they will be a Wild Card team.
Guardians +500 – Hanging around at 2 games back and 2 games over .500 they are 2.5 games back of the Wild Card. Cleveland +278 at home and +467 RUN LINE interesting as the big division under dog because they have the pitching to compete.
Red Sox – 2 games back of the Wild Card and very likely to end up in a Wild Card position. Simply put the Red Sox struggles are 12-26 within the AL East, the worst division record of the 5 teams. They have 38 division games left and will have to find a way to improve on the .316 division win percentage. At 3 games over .500 no matter how long the Sale finger injury last I would expect the Red Sox to compete and win a Wild Card spot somehow.
Phillies – Currently in the last Wild Card position and at +2500 to win the NL East most figure a Wild Card is the best they can hope for. They have done slightly better thus far on the RUN LINE ( +598)and on the Road (+471) as opposed to Home Money Line (-327) where they are often heavy favorites. They have shown the ability score runs and are one of a handful of teams with more OVERS though just 46-42. They sit 8.5 games behind the Mets and 6 back of the Braves.
Padres – Sitting in the 2nd Wild Card spot and are 6th overall in Money Line $ for the first half of the season. Their only +is Away from Petco where they are 27-21 for +547. The Padres are in line to get Tatis in late July or early August as he has been out all year. He should give them a needed boost with the bat and glove. 10 games over .500 the best time to take the Padres has been vs. Left Hand Pitching where they are 22-13.
So you like the OVER? Remember every game is UNDER until it goes OVER, but here are the teams with the most OVERS – Toronto 50-42, Cincinnati 47-40, Kansas City 47-44, NY Mets 46-40, San Francisco and Milwaukee 45-42. As you can see not of teams with more overs than under and when you factor in the juice that may not be where your profit is.
If your looking at TEAM TOTAL OVER your RUNS SCORED stats are here:
NY Yankees 497 and this may be important because the O/U stats are 44-45 for the Bronx Bombers so you may be able to isolate them over their number.
LA Dodgers 462, another interesting number as the Dodgers are 33-46 O/U so we aren’t always seeing the total go over even when they are lighting up the scoreboard.
Blue Jays 428, with them posting the most combined overs in the league isolating their TEAM TOTAL OVER may not be a bad idea as they are 30-19 at home for -49 so far due to inflated juice. One thing to note is that when teams travel to Toronto players that aren’t vaccinated won’t be playing.
NY Mets 437, same thing here 46 combined overs so isolating their team total may be a good way of betting a favorite without laying heavy juice.
SF Giants 437, another of the league leaders in combined overs yet thus far they are negative money in money line and run line.
Brewers 417, tied with the Giants at 45 combined overs and sure to be seeing a lot of -200 or better favorite lines with a home heavy second half of the season.