Its been a changing of the guard in the last five meetings between these two teams as Miami has won 4 of 5, 2 of those five they would’ve covered 3 points. Does that make the Patriots have a 60% chance of covering when they open in Miami? As Patriots head coach the Pats have won .657 against Miami, true he had Brady for most of those. How about at Miami where he is slightly under .500 coming in. Consensus Sportsbook figures have 80 % of the early cash on the Patriots, $182,445, compared to $44,515 for Miami, still the line sits at -3 though it may have made a trip to -2.5 and back. Tua Tagovailia 3-0 vs. Patriots, has a passer rating of 81.9 with 456 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. All that for history going into account and then what’s the difference in coaching both for Miami as Brian Flores is left to lawsuits and in New England as Josh McDaniel’s is now the Raiders head guy. With the Television broadcasters seemingly all on Miami I’m going the other way here, the Patriots would’ve covered +3 in two of the last five matchups they’ve lost vs. Miami. My Prediction 23-21 Dolphins.