Day one’s biggest spread as it opened at -8 now at -7 for the Colts. Indianapolis under Reich is 7-2 vs. Houston, including last year winning 31-0 and 31-3 in the two meetings. Indy ran for 238 controlling 41 minutes of game time with 26 first downs putting a touchdown in every quarter in their last meeting, the first meeting they ran for 174 controlling 34 minutes of game time and intercepting Davis Mills twice.
Enter Lovie Smith as the HC in Houston and the question is how much has Houston improved? Mills managed two wins last year 16 TD and 10 INT, and with Cooks really the only wide out who is deemed a threat we will see how they do. Mills has a passer rating of 60.0 with 292 yards and 2 interceptions in 2 games.
The Colts also beefed up their defense with Stephon Gilmore and really if you look at Matt Ryan’s career when has he ever had a run attack and a defense as good as the Colts. The Colts were 2nd in the league with 149 a game last year, while Atlanta was 31st at 85 a game (Houston was 32nd). Defensively the Colts were 16th last year, Atlanta was 26th and Houston was 31st. That being the reason why the Colts are the favorite in this game and in the division as well.
Maybe the Texans have closed the gap but I’m not convinced they have closed it that much my prediction 30-21 Colts.