Friday Night Football – Louisville vs. UCF

Louisville opened up conference play a favorite on the road at Syracuse and they couldn’t have had a worse day. UCF started out against SC State and won in a blowout. With the total at 61.5 and 79% of the consensus money on the over out of 38K bet it appears that oddsmakers and gamblers are expecting both teams to be able to score here. With the line we see the curious 63% on UCF out of 129K bet but still a line move for the under dog Cards from +6 to +5.5 and the same thing on the money line with 88%, around 22,000 laying UCF at -245 compared to only 12 % on the Cards but the line has shrunk from -245 to -220. So if your following I guess its a matter of are you following the line move or the money? As for me I’ll take the Cardinals +5.5 to stay close with a possibility of pulling the upset. These two aren’t conference opponents but after the poor game last week I would expect maybe the Cardinals are a bit better than they showed week 1 where they were -5.5 to 6 point favorites on the road and lost 31-7. Had they won that game and covered I would say this would be a line around UCF -3, but with the bad first game we see more points here.