A huge spread for Thursday Night Football and the way the Chiefs are playing the books had to set the line at KC-10.5. They are off to what looks to be another AFC West and they have reeled off 15 in row vs. the Broncos. 6 of the 15 wins in that streak would they have covered the -10.5 number. That’s 40% of the time so that is probably your odds on the Chiefs to cover. Mahomes II is 11-0 vs. Denver, averaging 269 yards per game, 1.6 TD and .7 INT per game vs. the Broncos. The other number is 28.5 that is how many the Chiefs average in Mahomes 11 games vs. Denver, with the average differential being 10.6 PPG there lies the soil from which the -10.5 number arose. Early consensus is all on laying the number 91% of 193k as of 9 am Wednesday on the Chiefs. Kelce and the ankle may have him out for this one.
Before you get to declare the Chiefs victory pregame take a look at the Broncos two games since Wilson arrived, 0-2 record, 234 YPG, 4 TD, and 2 INT. They have scored 24 and 28 in both of those games. The other thing to consider is that this series with the Chiefs is why Peyton was brought in and he likely started the game plan for this week in the off season.
With the Kelce injury even if he plays he may be slowed up. The Broncos run defense may be a reason to actually take the points here because they are giving up 187.6 on the ground. Those two factors may lead the Chiefs to want to run the ball if they get up 10-14 points. The Broncos have been bad yes, but if they are going to get better then Thursdays game is the measuring stick. They play these guys twice a year, the win streak is at 15 for the Chiefs and these games are headline primetime matchups between two Super Bowl champion QBs. My prediction is Chiefs 31- 26. Denver +10.5
As always Best of Luck and enjoy your Thursday