NFL Sunday 11-5-23

451: NFL: Dolphins over 50½ – Dolphins scoring 24 on the road per game, KC only 19 per game on the road, however 33 MIA and 23 KC per game overall. I’m not sure this is really a home game for either because it’s Germany and they want to put on show. Even with the road numbers where you could justify taking the under here the matchup and what we have seen these two teams do with our eyes leads me to still take over 50.5 as it is still the largest total of the week by huge margin. 451: NFL: Dolphins over 50½

464 New England Patriots -150 – This is the time of year when the Patriots traditional smash every opponent that comes to Gillette. After seeing them against the Bills I at least know them blowing out Washington is a possible outcome but the Commanders have played better than their record. Feisty teams with up and coming QBs are hard to cover against if you can even get ahead until a field goal sometimes so money line is where I’d recommend if you’re liking this game. 464 New England Patriots -150

455 Seattle Seahawks +6.5 – Two first place teams here and I know Jacksons passing has improved but the Ravens are built still to be a running team. While I wouldn’t be surprised if B-more wins by a td or more I would be much more comfortable with Seattle and +6.5. I saw them vs. Cincy and to say they had their chances to win that game is an understatement. They could’ve easily won this game and they are a threat to pull an upset if they show up. Smith at QB has a great ATS record as a dog, Pete Carroll as well. 455 Seattle Seahawks +6.5

467 Indianapolis Colts -2 – I’ve watched this Colts team move the ball on everyone and they are still a wild card contender no matter what. This is a game they should win and if they are to be a playoff team must win vs. the number 1 draft pick QB and the Panthers.467 Indianapolis Colts -2

470 Las Vegas Raiders – Daniel Jones is back for NYG… I still think the Raiders have the best QB to take the field in this game. After that performance the Raiders fire everyone and someone better light a fire under them before Davis hits reset buttons for real as the Raiders are still alive for the Wild Card but this is a game they have to win or maybe they will play like last week and makethis a horrible pick?470 Las Vegas Raiders

471 Dallas Cowboys +3 or +145 ML – Dak Prescott is 8-3 vs Philly, and it’s been a long time since someone was able to repeat as NFC East champs. 471 Dallas Cowboys +3 or +145 ML

474 Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 – Well we just pray that this one goes better than last year and no one gets hurt this season. Two of the best in the league here, the Bengals are playing great on both sides of the ball right now. Buffalo scoring 24 a game on the road and the Bengals have actually been around 17 at home so they have been playing a “playoff ready” brand of football. This one will be great to watch but definitely a gamble to bet on, then again when the Bengals d has had to make 4th quarter 4th down stops to win close games so far they have stood up for themselves winning in those situations. 474 Cincinnati Bengals -2.5

As always best of luck, and enjoy your Sunday.