Air Force +7.5 45% First meeting ever, AF 4-5 ATS, UConn 5-4-1 ATS. I took Air Force last week vs. SJSU and they won outright. U Conn off the big win vs. Duke where they won outright as underdogs. Air Force +7.5
Memphis +3 Tigers are 8-2 ATS, 5-3-1 ATS for E. Carolina, last meeting was 2022 a 45-43 E.C.U. win and you may want to check the health of the Memphis QB. I don’t usually play overs but this is where I naturally have to look. Memphis 64% consensus but I’ll take the over 58.5 here.
Navy +10 only 19% Midshipmen are 2-7 ATS, but wait.. this one was 28-7 Navy’s way last year, but 2023 the last one played in Annapolis was a 14 point USF win. USF 6-2-1 ATS. If Navy can move the ball they will cover and if not then USF will blow them out. Pass
Indiana -29 vs Wisconsin- Wisky sure aint where it used to be but game was IU 20-14 two years ago. Has the number got too big? These two haven’t played each other every year but IU has won the last two. Hoosiers now 6-4 ATS for the year. Wisconsin is 4-5 vs the number. Indiana looks vulnerable on defense last week but that number was -17 or something. Its got too much for me to do anything but pass.
Ohio State -31.5 OSU 7-1-1 ATS with only cover against them coming last week as the number just got too big so I’ll pass on them as well, though with their defense a 38-3 win doesn’t seem unreasonable.
Michigan State +7- Spartans getting a touchdown at home vs. Penn State. After everything thing Penn State is 2-7 ATS. Why is the number where it is? How about PSU won 42-0 vs. MSU two years ago and that’s enough to scare me off of MSU. Penn State showed signs of life last week and seeing them favored means someone knows more than I do. Penn State -7.
Georgia -6.5 65% Texas 2-6-1 ATS this year and thus you can see while Arch may be different as a road dog he finds himself the underdog on the road. For me its still give me another year for Manning to develop into a Manning whether it be in NFL or back in college because remember Peytons first year? This one went 22-19 UGA’s way last year and I almost think the 6.5 is too much of a number that’s like a point or two less than Mississippi State was, but this is only the second time Texas has been an underdog, the first vs. Ohio State. I actually think this would be a major upset if Texas could pull it off but I don’t think they do. Backs against the wall though means they’ll try to keep it within reach. I think UGA wins in a close one, but Texas may very well cover the number. Texas +6.5
Alabama the Tide are 6-2-1 ATS I think this game is an under here. And in come the the Tide to a trap game. They haven’t lost since FSU but OU upset them last year 24-3 and you know the strength for OU is defense. Just beyond the top tier teams is where this OU team is at 4-4-1 ATS. Alabama 71% consensus but may be in trouble of an outright upset if the defense can lock down Bama’s Wide Outs. Pass
Mississippi – Should win the game SU to keep their playoff hopes alive Mississippi -11.5 Gators won 24-17 last year and ruined the Rebels chance at the playoffs. The Gators seemed to have given up in Lexington last week, I was working at the football game so all we heard were fireworks on repeat as the Wildcats beat the Gators down, still though the Gators are capable of covering. Florida +11.5
Mississippi St Bulldogs 8-2 ATS vs Missouri was 39-20 Tigers way last year. I’ll take the points depending on who the starting QB is Miss St. +7
TCU +125 48% Two years ago this game was 44-11 TCU, we will see how good BYU is again even though the Cougars are one of the best ATS 6-3 ATS. TCU 4-4-1 ATS. In this spot as the 3.5 under dog to open the year TCU trounced North Carolina. TCU +3 56% consensus
Arkansas +5 54%- LSU won 34-10 last year and they still have more talent. But will they play to their capabilities in their current situation? LSU -5
Iowa +192 48% Iowa +6.5 30% No recent meetings but the Trojans may still be alive for playoffs if they win and win impressively. Give them the upset or the cover? USC -6.5 70% consensus
ND -12.5 vs. Pitt went Irish way 58-7 two years ago. Give me the Irish -12.5
WKU – Toppers are 7-2 ATS -13 WKU vs. MTSU was 49-21 Hilltoppers last year. Give me WKU -13
South Carolina +16.5 vs Texas A&M last year the Gamecocks upset the Aggies 44-20. Look for Sellers to cover here for USC.
UNC +5.5 vs. Wake Forest – Wake maybe a little let down after the UVA win. 66% consensus and me on UNC +5.5