Houston vs. Seattle – A sign of things to come for the AL West as Seattle has started out 2-0 vs Houston. They are 7-3 the last 10 vs Houston. It’s another tough draw for the Astros here as they have Burrows the young starter against George Kirby. The only thing that worries me is the Mariners going for the sweep against a division rival. For me its back Kirby and M’s or pass on this one.This is one of those games where if Houston can hang around till the bullpen then maybe they have a shot, but the M’s bullpen has pitched well against the Astros who may be on a “down” year after a 1-8 start to the year. Seattle -171 is my pick.
D-backs vs. Orioles – Ryne Nelson 1-1 with a 4.20 era vs. BAL, Kramer on the other side has two appearances vs. D-backs a 6 earned 8.16 era in one and 3 earned 10 strikeout loss making him 0-2. The game log shows this is the first meeting since 2024 so the head to head doesn’t really help. I’ll just pass on this 50/50 game but if I was to take it I would look maybe at the over 8.5 if the first innings don’t have a lot of runs maybe get a better number live bet. I can’t justify even a lean on a side here and that total is the from the combined starting pitching stats. OVER 8.5
Nats vs. Pirates – The Paul Skenes show is back but will he get the run support to have a good lead when the game goes bullpen. The Nationals are 5-5 last 10 vs. the Bucs. It’s another young starter Cade Cavali 0-0 2.51 era and 11 strikeouts this year. For me the price on Skenes is just too much, even though the Pirates won in Cincinnati it was one of those games where once the bullpen came in the other team had their chances. Skenes has already lost once this year and with the way things go in the majors when they get more tape on a pitcher then gravity kicks in. I’ll probably not bet this but my pick is Washington +1.5
Cubs vs. Phillies – On paper this game looks like it should the Cubs way a little from the pitching matchup. Javier Assad 1-1 with a 5.84 era vs. Phillies, on the other side Sanchez is 0-1 with a 10.38 era allowing 15 earned over 13 innings in two appearances. Phillies are 7-3 last 10 vs. CHC. Early morning consensus has 82 % on the Cubs. For me instead of the money line here I look to the run line or the over 8. These teams both have serious bats and with the previous outings from these pitchers we could see the scoreboard light up. My picks Chicago +1.5 and OVER 8.
Angels vs. Yankees – This series is 11-9 the Angels way last 20. Angels won 5 games in a row at Yankee Stadium in 2025. Kikuchi is 5-5 vs the Yankees, Young Will Warren the heavy favorite as the Angels are in the mist of an early season road trip. Given the head to head record I would either go with Angels +1.5 or +153 if your feeling lucky.
Marlins vs. Braves – Eury Perez on the road a 4.34 era on the road in 24 then Tommy John had him return in 25 but still the road vs. home splits have to be taken into account. Holmes 3.14 era 1-0 record in 3 starts vs Miami. This one here my original lean towards the Braves as they are 7-3 vs. Miami last 10, 4-1 in games played in ATL. Braves -149 is my pick.
Red Sox vs. Twins – Sox are 6-4 last 10 vs. Twins. This one figures to be a pitchers duel on paper. Crochet 1-1 with a 3.07 era vs. MINN, Bailey Ober a 1-2 record but a 1.57 era vs. Boston. 7 of the last 10 matchups Minnesota +1.5 would have covered. The Red Sox may be the better team but they have been the past few years as well. This being game 1 of a series finding the Red Sox on an early season road trip, they took 2 of 3 from St. Louis and will likely be favored to do the same in Minnesota. My pick is Minnesota +1.5
Guardians vs. Cardinals – Cards 6-4 vs. Guardians head to head. Its a battle of young pitchers with neither team really having seen the other guys starters much. Last series between these two was 3-0 St. Louis way. The book favors the Guardians slightly and I believe that is mostly due to Williams. It’s also an early season home stand for St. Louis, and after having lost the first series on the home stand I would say the goal for the Red Birds here is to win this series. Lean here is against the consensus and towards the home team Cardinals. I would say if you don’t get the win in game 1 then just come back tomorrow and try again. Cardinals -102 or STL +1.5 if you want to lay that -171 price.
Rangers vs. Athletics- Eovaldi 3-2 vs. OAK with a 2.76 ERA, Severino 2-2 with a 3.66 ERA vs. TEX. Texas 7-3 last 10 vs. OAK. Domination by the Rangers is what this appears to be with the last 5 going the Rangers way. However Severino is a decent pitcher and may be able to keep Oakland in the game. The tell-tale sign is Texas only -131, is that the freebie or do the bookmakers have Oakland as being able to compete? With the run line at OAK +1.5 -149 you can see where the juice lays and what the oddsmakers have set as the most likely to happen. However Oakland just played the Mets yesterday in New York and even with the home game sometimes teams don’t always do well in that type of travel with no rest, whereas the Rangers continue a road trip. This Oakland team scares me the Rangers last 5 vs. Oakland scares me more. I won’t be putting my money here but I think the better team is the Rangers so Texas -131 is my pick but I won’t bet this most likely.
Mets vs. Dodgers – Peterson is 2-0 with a 4.45 ERA vs. LAD, Wrobleski sees the Mets for the first time, he is 1-0 with a 4.00 ERA for his career. With the Dodgers being what they have been past 2 years it’s good to see a young pitcher making his way up. Mets scheduling is the about the same as the Athletics above as they travel from NY to LA with no rest. The Mets took the season series 4-3 last year. The travel situation is what scares me off the Mets where the Dodgers are on the early home stand after winning two of 3 vs. the Rangers. Peterson would have to be perfect so we will see. With the Dodgers already at -175 I’ll pass on this one as well but if they should fall behind 1-0 or 2-0 maybe catch LA at live bet with a little less juice.
As always best of luck and enjoy your Monday