CIN vs. MIN – Taj Bradley is 3-0 with a 1.25 era vs. CIN, Abbott is facing the interleague matchup for the first time. The Reds are my team and they won yesterday, but today my pick is Min -130 with 97% on consensus, but I won’t bet that most likely because the “Reds are on the Rad ee o”
METS vs. CHC – An old foe faces the Cubs with his new team. Peralta is 9-3 3.21 era vs. the Cubs. On the other side is Jameson Taillon who is sporting a 4-0 1.96 era vs. the Mets. This thing opened at -137 and has adjusted down to an even money game with the Cubs at -107. Peralta’s stats shrink more at Wrigley an itty bitty 1.77 era over 91.2 innings. What about the wind? Yesterday I had the over 10.5 whereas today its at 8.5 without really much action on the total. My picks here are is the UNDER 8.5 by the way 89% consensus is on the Cubs but with Peralta’s domination at Wrigley I’ll pass and move on.
KC vs. NYY- The Yankees have taken 13 of 15 vs. KC. Noah Cameron only start vs the Yanks he was 6 run 7 hits given up. KC has lost 5 in row. Warren is facing KC for the first time. Consensus 99% on NYY and where else could I pick but the Yankees so you see all the one way stats the Yanks have been winning 86% of the time here so there is still a 14% chance the Royals strike in the Bronx. Pick NYY -177
TAM vs. PIT – Rasmussen 1-0 with a 2.19 era vs. Skenes who has a .64 era vs. Tampa. Pittsburgh is 11-16 all time vs. Tampa the Pirates winning yesterday. My pick here UNDER 7 and I think it’ll be a close game so I think Skenes is pitching slightly better at home 98 % consensus on the Pirates, but the Rays at least give themselves a chance to stay in with Rasmussen most likely. Pirates -168
STL vs. HOU Pallante 1.80 era 1-0 vs. STROS, McCullers no starts vs Cards I can find. 93% of almost no action so far on the Astros who may win today but are off to a rough start.
TOR vs. ARI Scherzer is 9-0 2.65 era vs. D-backs, Gallen is 0-1 9.35 era vs. Blue Jays, 97 % consensus on the D-backs but I’m not in agreement, my picks is Toronto +1.5
CWS vs. OAK – Fredde is 7-4 with a 3.11 vs. OAK, Severino is 2-3 with a 4.44 era vs. CHW – Oakland lost yesterday to the White Sox but has won 13-7 last 20 matchups. Pick Athletics -160 Consensus 100% so far and that is the what concerns me is the overload on the A’s despite the Sox still putting a quality starter out.
DET vs. BOS – Skubal 2-2 4.30 era vs. BOS Brayan Bello 0-1 5.74 era vs. Det. Detroit 11-9 last 20 vs Boston. -170 price on Skubal as the Red Sox are never easy but this should be the Tigers “Day” 99% consensus on the -167 which is my pick Detroit -167
SF vs. WAS Houser 0-1 1.37 era vs. Nationals, Cavali 4.18 over first 4 starts. SF 6-4 last 10 vs. WAS. The Giants took the series opener yesterday 10-5 and we have seen these teams kind of go back and forth. I’m gonna slide over to the total play here and take OVER 9.5 consensus 64% on the road Giants
MIL vs. MIA – Woodruff 4-0 2.53 era vs. Marlins, Alcantara 2-1 3.08 era vs. Brewers. The Marlins won yesterday in a game that was 5-7. This one could go over but if it does I would say its most likely in the hands of the bullpen. We see one of todays lower totals at 7.5 and I’ll take that UNDER 7.5
ATL vs. PHI – Sale 2-2 with a 4.05 era vs. Phillies, Sanchez 0-3 4.32 era vs. Braves. Philly has won 12 of 20 games vs. ATL. ATL +111 is my pick and 57% of barely any action on this game is on the Braves.
BAL vs. CLE – Kramer 0-3 6.50 era vs. Cleveland, Williams 0-2 9.28 era vs. Orioles. Baltimore has won 11 of 20 games vs. CLE, amazingly 99% consensus is on Cleveland here as I guess they are expecting a better performance from Gavin Williams. I see the total at only 7.5 which means current season matters more to the books or something. Ill fade consensus and take BAL +1.5
TEX vs. SEA – Eovaldi 3-4 5.27 era, George Kirby 8-1 vs. TEX, 95% consensus and myself are on Seattle -140.
LAD vs. COL- Sheehan – 4-0 3.75 era vs. COL, Feltner 1-3 6.75 era vs. LAD, LA is 17-3 last 20 vs. COL, at -270 thats too much for me to lay even then. I’ll take LAD -1.5
SD vs. LAA – Marquez 0-2 3.54 era vs LAA, Kukuchi 1-1 4.95 era vs. SD, My pick is OVER 9.5, consensus 90% over and 57% on Padres with little action on the game as a whole compared to rest of the board.
As always best of luck and enjoy your Saturday