DET vs. CIN Frambler Valdez vs. Andrew Abbott in both pitchers first matchup vs. the opposing team. Detroit is 4-10 on the road this year. Last years season MVP on the mound for the Reds but is off to an 0-2 start. 71% on the Astros at consensus. The Reds have been ahead of where many had expectations for them. I’ll take the Reds +1.5
BOS vs. BAL – Brayan Bello 3-0 3.00 era vs BAL, Brandon Young gets his first start vs BOS. The consensus is 74% on BAL but with this being a tough Boston lineup I’m not sure how the rookie will do. See all I need to where the run line is switched and its BOS -1.5 so I’ll slide back to the side and get BOSTON -102.
CLE vs. TOR – Gavin Williams 3-1 2.12 era vs. Max Scherzer 9-5 4.25 era. Cleveland is 12-8 last 20 vs. TOR. This is a game with two really good pitchers and I might look first at first 5 innings UNDER or UNDER 8. As far as a side play 60% is on CLE at -131. Pick Cleveland Guardians.
COL vs. NYM – Micheal Lorenzen 2-1 2.61 era vs NYM and Freddy Peralta 4-2 3.49 era vs. COL. The Mets have gone 8-2 vs the ROCKIES last 10. 93% is on the METS consensus, and while the Rockies are going to be the worst team of the two for the year but today Lorenzen could get a quality start and if he is around when Peralta goes bullpen then who knows how the Mets pitching will finish the game. My pick COLORADO +1.5
MIN vs. TB – Taj Bradley 1st appearance vs. Tampa he is 3-0 on the season. Rassmussen starts for Tampa Bay his is 1-1 with a 4.15 era. Tampa has won 15 of 25 vs. MIN Pick is RAYS -126
PHI vs, ATL – Andrew Painter went 3 earned 4 innings in his only start vs. ATL, Grant Holmes is 1-1 2.19 era. Phillies are 11-9 last 20 vs ATL. This thing is gonna go back and forth in the series but I’d give a slight advantage to ATL because of the home game. Consensus is 49% on Phillies, my pick is PHI +1.5
PIT vs. MIL 83% on Paul Skenes who is 1-2 with a 3.86 era vs. the Brew Crew. Brandon Woodruff is 8-3 3.05 era vs. Pittsburgh. The Brewers went 10-3 vs. PIT last year. Seems like this matchup favors Milwaukee on paper but with the best of Bucs pitchers going I’ll slide over to the run line and my pick is MIL +1.5
WAS vs. CHW MIles Mikolas is 6-9 for a 3.86 era vs. the White Sox, Bryan Hudson is 0-0 with a 1.69 era. The Sox went 4-2 last year vs. Nationals and when I see them favored here I’ll go against the 71% consensus picking WAS and my pick is CHW -126
LAA vs. KC Yusei Kikuchi 4-2 4.72 era vs. Royals, Noah Cameron 3 runs 5 hits in his only appearance vs. the Angels. 61% on the LAA but my pick is where 98% consensus is on the UNDER 8.5
ATH vs. TEX A rematch of a few days ago as they split the 4 game series. You can expect this one to go back and forth as well. 59% on the Athletics as Luis Severino is on the mound 2-3 3.97 era vs. Rangers, Nathan Eovaldi 4-2 2.54 era vs. ATH starts for Texas. Consensus is split 59% for Athletics but my pick is on the home team Rangers -154
NYY vs. HOU Will Warren 2-0 2.49 era vs. Lance McCullers 2-0 2.97 era versus. 98% on the Bronx Bombers but with the head to head only 6-4 Yankees way I’ll go with the struggling Astros HOU +1.5
SEA vs. STL George Kirby 1-0 4.50 vs. STL, Andre Pallante 2-1 4.05 era vs. Mariners. The M’s are 7-3 last 10 versus. I’ll take STL +1.5
CHC vs. LAD Jameson Taillon 0-1 5.68 era vs. Dodgers, and Emmet Sheehan 1st start versus Cubs. Cubs won 4-3 last years in the series. 95% on the Dodgers and UNDER 9 86%. That is where my pick is UNDER 9
MIA vs. SF – Sandy Alcantara 1-3 2.95 era vs. Giants, with Adrian Houser 3-0 3.22 era vs. Marlins. Miami won 4-2 last years series. 61% on the Marlins consensus but I am picking the Giants -105