Louisville vs Ole Miss

Monday Night College Football tonight as Louisville face Mississippi. Ole Miss started out -7 went to 9 now at 8.5 as the head coach/offensive play caller is out with Covid-19 protocols. The total 42.5 for Ole Miss and 33.5 for Louisville giving a combined number at 74. As you can see Ole Miss is expected to be putting up big numbers Matt Corral returns for his junior season, last year a 177.6 passer rating. For Louisville as you can see they are expected to put up points as well. A bit of stat talk here, last year the cards gave up 26.22 per game while averaging 29.5 scoring. Three times last year did they give up more than 42. For Ole Miss they scored 39.22 and gave up 38.3 per game, four times making it over that 42 number. As you can see the Cardinals would much rather have this game in the 20’s or 30’s. My pick is Louisville to be able to stay in the game +8.5, and I feel like they are a live underdog here at +280 to take a look at a win here. Any of the other plays you are better off waiting on some live bet adjustments from game play.

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