A playoff rematch from last year where KC was like a 10pt favorite and won by 5. Early in the 2nd half it was KC with a good lead and Mahomes II was hurt for a play or so then they just sat on the ball having the AFC Championship the next week. This time the Chiefs favored -6.5, -265ml with a total of 54.
Sometime I have wondered how did the Chiefs lose in the few bad games they have had, I don’t think this is gonna one of those games. They come in wanting to put a new start on the season after only putting up 9 points in the Super Bowl. That was what it was and I really don’t think has any bearing on this season other than motivation. No matter what at home even laying that big number I’m not gonna recommend going against them.
The Browns also loaded at every position and if they get the chance to keep the score down they may be able to rely on the run. Of course if they fall behind its tough to stick with that run. Last year only two division teams beat them at Arrowhead(one was resting players final reg season game), and the year before Tennessee and Indy beat them in KC holding them to 24 and 13 points. For Cleveland to win they are gonna have to keep the Chiefs around that 24 or 27 range, if they get to 30
The Chiefs last year 7-9 ATS, O/U 8-8, the Browns 6-10 ATS, O/U 9-7. However the Chiefs started the season covering and then the oddsmakers’ had to put the lines so high that they only covered once in the final eight games. My prediction 33-24, my pick Chiefs -6.5, over 54.