Tampa Bay a huge favorite here -12.5, total at 51, -700 ml, and last years January matchup is why as it went 44-27 Bucs. The other reason why is that Tampa just keeps on winning so they keep putting these huge spreads on the board because even then some 83% of early money has come in laying that number. Brady’s career vs. ATL is staggering 115.8 passer rating, 2,231 yards, 17 TD, 2 INT, with 318.7 yards per game. Including one of the craziest 2nd half Super Bowl comeback wins. Tom Brady is 8-0 in his career vs ATL, his teams have averaged 30.4 PPG in those 8 wins.
The good news for Atlanta is that they added an extra game this year, so they can literally just consider that the last preseason game and move on. Matt Ryan has seen this team 26 games, 41 TDs and 16 INTs against the Bucs. September hasn’t been good for the Falcons since that Super Bowl trip.
Sometimes covering a big spread like this happens but beating the same team that you see twice a year by two touchdowns is a lot to ask in pro football. The thing is with this one the only question for a lot of America is how much Tampa will win by, not if they will win. My prediction 31-24 Tampa Bay.
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