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Lions vs. Packers

Monday Night Football back at Lambeau Field, Green Bay -12, the total at 48.5. If ever there was a time for not worrying about game 1 its for the Packers here. Everyone else in their division is in a four way tie at 0-1, and with the extra game added this year there is plenty of wiggle room still for the Packers. In this situation Rodgers is 6-0 under Coach LaFleur, having 4TDs and 0 INTs after his last four losses. Aaron Jones had 236 scrimmage yards, 3 TD in his last home game vs Detroit. The Packers have won straight in this matchup, before that it was 4 in a row for the Lions(Rodgers DNP in part of those games). They face a Detroit defense that has given up 30 points in 7 straight games going back to last season. After the 3 point performance and whatever talk about their game 1 this team knows that doesn’t change their playoff chances at all, and they still have 16 games left that won’t have location changed by hurricane.

The Lions come in double digit underdogs are likely to be underdogs in most all their games. Goff saw this team in his last appearance as a Ram in the playoffs last year, a 111.0 passer rating, 3 TD, 0 INT and 295 yards. The Lions would have lost by this number only once in the four games they have lost in a row to Green Bay. While I think Green Bay may cover this number is they really get a chance to, laying -12 points in a pregame bet is usually the worst thing you can do. For that to be the best number you get it would literally have to be a one way affair, for example last weeks Green Bay game where the live bet kept looking like well they are gonna score and make more of a game of this thing.

I’m not sure the Detroit is gonna be with the program in allowing the cover on them. Basically either a blowout or the Packers up by 7-10 and then driving with a closing score, similar to how they covered on the Rams in the playoff game. Rodgers 4-9 ATS last two seasons in primetime, Aaron Rodgers is 33-15 ATS after a loss (12-7 ATS as a favorite of 7.5+). Once again the conversation going into this game ends up being not if the Packers will win, but how much will they win by. My prediction 32-27 Packers, even though only 13% of the early bets are on Detroit.

12 thoughts on “Lions vs. Packers”

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