App State comes in favored by a touchdown. Between these two teams they are averaging over 1000 yards per game combined, (604 Marshall, 446 App St.) The total at 59, -300 App St. +250 Marshall. This App State defense held Miami to 25 points in a 25-23 loss, giving up 10 and 19 points in the other two games. So it’ll be a contrast in styles here as Marshall comes in averaging 43 a game. Wells(Marshall) season stats 1110yds 4 TD 5 INT, Brice(APP. ST.) 751yds, 4 TD, 2 INT. Last year this game was 17-7 Marshall.
This year we see a really high total and even a lot of early action on that over taking it up to 59. While we could well see that number as you can see from the way App St likes to play and the pace of last years matchup 30 points on both sides is a long way off. There is a lot of talk about presumed interceptions to be on from Wells, but last year it was one on each side. The matchup that will dictate the pace of play is App St defense giving up 240 YPG, The Herd throwing for 418.7 YPG. One more stat to consider last year in NCAA teams favored by 7, the underdog lost and covered 202 times, and won outright 315 out of 1065 games. So in this situation last year 53% of those favored by that touchdown covered, and that probably goes up when its the home team favored. I’ll spare you my prediction here, just the stats on this one.