When I looked at this matchup the thing that stood out was that Wisconsin is favored by so much. This Irish team has been good defensively, so I guess the reason would be that Wisconsin having had Coan play there is presumed to be familiar with all his abilities and weaknesses? Your still seeing almost 40 % of the plays willing to lay the points here. The only way that is a good play Wisconsin -6 is if the Badgers grab and hold the lead throughout the entire game.
The under is seeing a bit of heavy play as well, but at 44 its still a low number. The Irish have the ability to throw the ball as well. Being that field goals vs. touchdowns and turnovers either giving or taking away points I wouldn’t be surprised to see more points. The Badgers are a traditional run team but the only knock on Mertz this far has been the untimely turnovers.
For some reason I think this may end up being a game where the winner covers, I’ll be watching