The Saints back at the Superdome for the first time this year. New Orleans -7.5, total opened 47 now adjusted to 42, -330 ML, Giants +270 ML. For the Giants an 0-3 start gets tougher as they face a trip to New Orleans for what is now the “home opener” with WR Slayton and Sheppard out. The schedule goes from games they have to feel like they could’ve won to a lot harder. At this point only a win will suffice so you know coming in they are desperate for that. A huge part of that problem is all the giveaways from Jones, 40 since 2019, they are +1 in turnovers this year however. 21.3 a game scored 24.7 given up. The defense giving up 347 YPG, 20th in offense and defense. I’m not sure what the game plan is but Barkley’s touches and yards from scrimmage have increased each game. The two headed run game may be the direction they try as New Orleans has only seen 7 rushing attempts from opposing QBs. The good news is that to this point the offense for the Saints is 31st, and the passing game 31st as well. The other spot they may be able to gain advantage is the Saints allowed 5 sacks last week.
Winston’s has played 4 games vs the Giants, 1158 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT, 104.4 passer rating, his teams records 1-3(TAMPA BAY). This season he is only going 129 YPG, 7 TD, 2 INT. As you can tell from those stats while he touches the ball every offensive play he is on the field, the Saints are winning with the entire team and to this point haven’t put him in pressure “must throw the ball 40-50 times per game.” He has had 22 pass attempts or fewer this season, that only happened 4 times during his time in Tampa. Helping him has been a 6th ranked defense, a +5 turnover differential, averaging 24 per game while allowing 14.
I think this is a “must win” unless they are gonna start figuring who they want in the draft for the Giants. I’m not gonna bet this one, but my prediction 24-21 New York.