With the money line wagers you have to know as they told me before, ” you don’t want to be laying those big odds”. The saying goes basketball is a game of numbers and sometimes all the think we had didn’t make sense why is Steve Kerr playing Steph half the forth quarter whatever his minutes are. Most of the time the key players lead to momentum coming back. Also no matter what your plans on the game happens can account for things such as when Anthony Edwards ran off 20 something in a row, when the Heat came to town. So you can get in some situation when you thought a run would occur but momentum grabbed hold and went that way the rest of the game. See thats when in a playoff atmosphere if you took the Spurs vs the Grizzlies and you lost once they grabbed and held momentum. You can get mad at the coach… but its your dumbass that the bet, same thing with me wanting to try a bet on Charlotte in the play in tournament. Because with betting you should remember if you make some impulse wager then you don’t control players and coaches so waiting down the favorite when they in that position but should be coming back. Either way under -200 is almost always available. With money line wagers you win or lose with that team. What I’ve learned is if you can look and see that is got that bounce in their body language even if they fall 10 behind. Typically that is when you want a good live bet, when your team has fallen behind a few but you still believe they didn’t come to lose that night.
The best time to get your team at the number you want is to decide what team you want before the game but regardless of what the line is pregame. For example if you get a team at -400, then decide what will be acceptable, its a game of runs and substitutions at whatever rate they will come. You can often get at least even money plus then you get a chance to watch the game. If your not watching the game you might be betting on a team after their “quarterback has broke his leg and the back up is in” as I did in the Egg Bowl once. NBA league pass is a dollar a day.
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