After what looked to be a win for most of regulation against Baltimore, the Colts return home -10, -400 ML favorites, The low total of 43.5, 27.5(IND), 16.5 (HOU). Its Davis Mills again for Houston who also led most of the game before losing late to New England. Last year Indianapolis took both games, 27-20 and 26-20. You have to figure the Texans coaching staff has a game plan that will keep them in the game. Indy will likely have a huge advantage in time of possession. Mills will have to be efficient on 3rd down will be key for Houston. Flea flickers happen, but they also are gonna need touchdowns when they get in field goal range.
The Colts depend on their division play to keep them alive for the playoffs, .696 win % since division realignment in 2002, only the Patriots have done better in division play. Coach Reich has done well against the Texans he is 5-2 against them. With this being a must win for the Colts to turn things around as the first part of their schedule was brutal. Now comes a home game against a familiar foe with a backup rookie QB where your that double-digit favorite. Wentz has never faced Houston. Even though it seems like Indy runs the ball the whole game they actually pass 58.82, which is just like their first touchdown in Baltimore, the screen pass that went the distance. Indy should win this but laying double digits and you know it could go either way. I think the Colts go mid twenties most like 27 and that is a tight number there with the team total. Same thing with the Texans, if they go over their team total they will probably cover. With the ten point spread I honestly don’t recommend much other than if your in that mood for a money line favorite that you can either lay the odds on or parlay with something else. Beware before you lay that 10 points there may either be an injured place kicker or a backup for the Colts.
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