Miami -3 on the road to face Joe Flacco and the Jets. Last year Flacco didn’t produce much in these matchups, 20-3 and 24-0 both going Miami’s way. Even still this is a 3-7 team vs. a 2-7 team, in a November divisional rivalry. Flacco has lost 13 of 15 starts going back to 2018, only 0-4 with the Jets. Ancient history 2012 he might’ve won a big game or two while in Baltimore.
The Dolphins defense has stepped up holding opponents under 400 total yards in 5 straight games. Both these teams are bottom of the league in rush yards per attempt at 3.6(NYJ) and 3.4(MIA), and in rushing yards per game 76.3(NYJ) and 73.6(MIA). Statistically there is not really any advantage here 17.9(NYJ) and 17.7(MIA) scoring. The only one that jumps out is opponents scoring 32.9(NYJ) and 25.2(MIA). However last two games the Ravens and Texans only 9 and 10 points respectively.
Gambling here who knows because the Dolphins are supposed to be the better team and before the season you would have figured the line to be more than 3. My prediction 20-16 Dolphins.