KC -3 in the stadium where both teams want their season to end in this years Super Bowl. First place in the division and playoff positioning is on the line tonight with the Chargers one game back but if they win would have then swept the two games against the Chiefs and own the tie breaker. The first game went 30-24 actually making two wins in a row for the Chargers as they played late last year with the Chiefs resting in control of homefield.
The Chiefs win streak has come with a step up in defensive performance, allowing 17 or less in all 6 games they have won in a row, their 20.9 allowed for the year but just 9 a game in the last 3. They are scoring 27 a game for the season. Mahomes is 15-2 in the month of December for his career. In 6 career games vs. the Chargers he is 4-2, 3-0 on the road, with 13 TD and 4 INT.
The way the Chargers have played lately KC may be hard pressed to hold them to 17 or under, they too are scoring 27.0 a game, 30 in the last 3. The 6th overall offense Herbert has 30 TD and 11 INT. In 3 games vs KC he has gone for 8 TD and 1 INT and a 2-1 record vs the two time defending AFC Champs.
The Total has seen the bulk of the action some 78 % on the over pushing the number from 49.5 to 52.5, they went for a combined 54 last time. While they may get over that total if both teams are scoring tonight four of the last ten matchups between these two would’ve gone over that number. The Chiefs have won 7 of 10 between these two losing the last two. My prediction 34-28 Chiefs.