Colts -2.5 as both teams come in off their bye week. These two don’t play every year, last meeting 2018, but the Patriots have won 8 in row vs. the Colts. They are 6-0 on the road this year and currently on a 7 game win streak. The strength of New England has been the defense, 3rd overall in the NFL, 1st in points allowed at 15.4, 7.7 in the last 3. The run game was almost all they used in Buffalo, only 3 pass attempts, but in the dome instead of 40 M.P.H. winds I would expect them to pass more than 3 times.
Key stat might be the 114.5 yards per game allowed on the ground for the Pats D vs. the Colts rushing attack going 151.7 per game, 203 the last 3 games. Taylor has accounted for 35.2 % of the Colts yards from scrimmage this year. Wentz has gone for 22 TD and 5 INT this year, taking care of the ball has the Colts leading the league in turnover differential at +13.
Curiously enough the Patriots opened at -2.5 now the number has flipped. Two good defensive teams but the total started at 43.5 now 44.5 with around 60 % of the total action coming in on the over. New England needs the win to stay a top the AFC standings, while Indianapolis currently sits in 6th position holding onto a wild card spot. The Patriots lead the league in margin of victory, +11.5 for the year and +17.3 last 3 games, they had a close one in Buffalo and it should be a good one tonight, my prediction 24-21 Colts.