Twins vs. Tigers Doubleheader

Detroit took the home opener in the three game set yesterday 7-5. Today a daytime matinee and the nightcap to the division series. The Twins lead the season series 5 games to 2, this games 8 and 9 with 10 more matchups this season. Conventional wisdom would be to say with the home team +134 and +124 that they should achieve a split and you would come out in plus money if that happens. However I’m probably playing this the other way and taking the Twins in the first game and adjusting whatever I need to come out ahead should they lose game 1 of the double header. If they win game 1 today then I’ll be leaving game 2 alone. My theory here being that the Twins being swept in the three game series is the least likely thing to happen or was at the start of the series.