Falcons vs. Jaguars in London, the early 9:30 a.m. game. The focus for the Jaguars is not getting in their own way, not falling behind early and relaxing according to the team website. Both these teams are in spots where they are wanting to bounce back from their last game. The Jaguars had their own string of outcome changing mistakes last week, while the Falcons had the 6 point showing in Detroit. The Jaguars won last time in London if my memory serves correct, and whether they cover or not I see them as my morning play here.
252: NFL: Jaguars -155
Miami at Buffalo- After last week for Miami and the past few weeks for Buffalo everyone is thinking this will be a million points here. If the Dolphins are going to be “REAL” they have to win this division as playing in the cold weather in the AFC is a tough January. Yes the Dolphins appear to be taking in more consensus and are the hot play, but for me I look at the head to head record of these two teams and its been all Buffalo. They even had the game in 2022 where it was low scoring even though last year the 34-31 and 32-29 but look at who was playing in all those games and its a different group here. The Dolphins are hot and the wagering world is thinking they are getting 2.5 points here, I’m thinking that one game in 2022 where the Bills had both starting corners out was the only one of the last 10 won by the Dolphins. The Bills have improved ability to run the ball with Cook now and keep Allen from crazy risks as well. That may be the piece they were missing down the road but Sunday.
254: NFL: Bills -2½-115
Bengals at Tennessee – A rematch from the playoffs on the way to winning the AFC for the Bengals and Titans here. The Bengals took down their Super Bowl rematch in Monday Night Football and now have the short week of rest. The Titans saw what the Bengals were up against in week 1 and couldn’t handle the Browns right now either. Tennessee has played better at home, having their win against the Chargers. I just think the Bengals are about to really hit their stride, and while this is a game they could lose because the Titans at home this core unit was just a 1 seed in the AFC a few years ago. For me laying the points on the road is not where I like to be, but I like the Bengals to keep momentum after finally getting in the win column .After the late TD caused a push at -3 Cincinnati looks for the cover for the first time in the young season.
269: NFL: Bengals -2½
Steelers at Houston – I made the mistake of thinking the Raiders could best the Steelers last game out and I was impressed with the Steelers controlling the game, really letting me know how good the 49ers are. Houston was the recipient of the Jaguars getting in their own way, the special teams plays and turnovers. Attention starting to Houston and CJ Stroud, if he can beat this Steelers team which from the half way point of last season has done very well, then maybe he is Houston’s franchise guy. The Steelers defense gives pressure where they want it and I’m on Pittsburgh.
261: NFL: Steelers -2½
275: NFL: Cardinals OV o43½ – 49ers scored 38, 38 and 31 the last 3 vs. Arizona in lob sided San Francisco victories. I do see what looks like appears to be a huge pile of money on the under here, 86%of 207k consensus on the under. The adjustment however has gone up from 41 and rose to 43.5. With all that consensus I’m sure there is someone who knows all games are under until they are over. The last 3 meetings would’ve been over that number is the reason for my selection.
(2023, September 30). Game Center. Pregame.com. Retrieved September 30, 2023, from https://pregame.com/game-
center
Oehser, J. (2023, September 29). 10 Things Jaguars Must Do To Beat The Falcons In Week 4. Jaguars.com.
Retrieved September 29, 2023, from https://www.jaguars.com/news/10-things-jaguars-must-do-to-beat-the-falcons-in-
week-4