CFB November 18 – The Griff Report is now on Apple Podcast
Last week was a huge win in a downpour for Space U, aka UCF. They try to keep their momentum as they are still close to bowl eligibility. Texas Tech sits with the same record at 5-5 off a big win vs. Kansas as well. This of course would be a game where the consensus is 53% to 47% and could have a million points if these offenses are rolling like last week. A disparity on the money line consensus with 72% on the +120 here UCF. That play at least the juice is on your side. The total is at 59.5 and we see some odd things there where 12 % of the tickets but 70 % of the cash is on the under. I leaned toward the over and there are tickets 88% on the over but only 12% the cash so on the over, for me I just lay off the total there.
413: CFB: Central Florida +120
Well in completely demolishing their opponents last week both NC State and Virginia Tech outdid what I thought they would. NC State is a team with the stars being senior linebackers, we see the NFL type total here at 41.5 and we see 70% of the bets on the under. For me I’ll bet the defenses show up and hope that we don’t see the easy touchdowns go on the board. This may be one where since we had such an adjustment from 49 down to 41.5 you may want to have a bit of confidence taken away and might be able to get it mid forties live bet.
338: CFB: Virginia Tech UN u41½
Recommend watch and hope for a live bet in the Clemson game. The original picks here are
342: CFB: Clemson -7½-105 and 342: CFB: Clemson UN u59½-105
around 70 percent on UNC +7.5 and on the over 59.5 as well. That is a shockingly high spread there and to me an indicator that the man setting the line knows more than the public. There might be the Clemson football coach saying to the cameras, “If Clemson Football was a stock you’d want to start buying it all now.” Of course the defense and how hard it is to win in Death Valley. UNC has one the best QBs in college and I have been correct zero times picking against UNC this year. I think Clemson is the better football team but that number before hand only take if your going under 59.5. UNC will likely be in the game so maybe you can get a better line in live bet here.
LIVE BET CLEMSON if they fall behind even though for making a pick I think they will have their chances to cover the -7.5
342: CFB: Clemson -7½-105 and 342: CFB: Clemson UN u59½-105
Well the SEC has been brutal for the Wildcats and yet they still have a good defense and one of the leagues best running backs. 80 % on the under here and so am I.
336: CFB: South Carolina UN u52½-112
Georgia clearly on a path towards the playoffs with the chance to make it an official big league dynasty with the 3 peat. Tennessee will hopefully have a better game than last week vs. Missouri. The line here actually gives the Vols the best chance vs. UGA as anyone has a had this year with the line only -9.5 to 10 range. Georgia is where people who really put their money on these things put their dollars. If UT shows up you may be able to get a better line but even if UGA doesn’t cover this is still a great play
329: CFB: Georgia -9½
This U of L team has packed the defense and played well all year. This Miami team isn’t bad and may have the lead allowing points with the Cards at some time today. However my pick is the
333: CFB: Louisville -110
One extra in Big Ten the Hoosiers hosting Michigan State. Not a the best IU team but they are favored here and I think they find a way to, would rather even money play on live bet but the pick is
328: CFB: Indiana U -3½-108