Miami -1.5 vs. Buffalo – Is it finally a win in the series vs. Buffalo for the Dolphins? The stepping stone to the AFC East is right in front of Miami. They played such a good game for most of the night late last year with the division on the line. It’s now at 11 of 12 but something might have changed. A few new guys in Buffalo and they don’t have the same experience level, and a new WR making it the leagues most feared wide out group in Miami. Where’s consensus? I don’t know if it’s talking home team yet but its leaning that way 54%ATS and 57% Moneyline on Miami. The total? 49 with 71% on the over but in reality 3 of 5 have gone over that number with the Dolphins best games being the 2 that stayed under, the win in Sept 22 and the one they should’ve won end of last season. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the total go either way so I’m gonna lean under and leave it alone. I think this matchup is the Dolphins best shot to beat the Bills so I’m gonna go against the we’ve won 11 of 12 vs. Miami and at least I knew that before I pick the Dolphins in a game that is certain to be worth watching, with it being the small line I just go money line because its a game of inches and this thing will probably be decided fourth quarter.
| 104 | Dolphins -125 money line |
NCAA F Thursday
Arizona St. vs Texas St. – Its early but consensus is coming on Texas St. I haven’t seen Texas St. but all I know about them is they beat UTSA 49-10. Arizona State themselves put up 30 holding Mississippi State to 23. Now this may be a down year for the Bulldogs but it’s hard to imagine Texas St. beating an SEC team and it not being a fluke. ASU did allow 9 yard per pass by MSU so I begin to look at the total. It’s a high number but I feel more comfortable there with what I know. 71 % consensus on the home team Texas State if your interested in a side, but its hard for me to take the small school over the Sun Devils. My pick over 58.5
| 105 | Arizona State Texas State | Over 58½ |
Friday Kansas host UNLV – Be careful with this game, Kansas came in ranked and got upset last week vs. Illinois. This UNLV team is 2-0 winning from the underdog position outright in stunning fashion week 1 vs. Houston. While the public right now is on Kansas 69% I’m not sure that the Jayhawks are where I want my money at. If I play this game it will be this and only a small play so it’ll be ok if I’m wrong. UNLV +220 money line
| 107 | UNLV | +220 |
The other Friday night game I guess we can call this a strategy for Friday is to keep this thing real simple, I’m either 0-2 on Friday which could happen but at +240 money line I can need to just go 1-1 to come out ahead so I’ll take the underdogs Arizona who play in Manhattan Kansas vs. the K State Wildcats. Only a small amount consensus here and I know K State plays great at home, right now it’s Arizona +7 58% consensus with almost no bets. Arizona +220 money line is where I’ll have my Friday popcorn.
| 109 | Arizona U | +220 |
As Always Best of Luck and enjoy your September