Well I sat and watched as my Bengals got demolished last week. I knew of the stats of Pittsburgh at Cincinnati but I thought that to be over with the Roethlisberger era coming to an end. Once again I took the Bengals like a dummy and I even had my hopes up when it was 7-0 after the pick six. But the Bengals have some strategic statisical anomaly’s with the amount of run plays and control of the clock like eating up chunks of quarters. That puts a slant on the defensive stats because then they are well rested every time. The Steelers offense though is just that good also. They opened up on Washington and now they are showing unheralded elite wide receiver play. This is a familiar foe who really outplayed them a few weeks ago. However in Pittsburgh the Browns haven’t fared as well as at the Dawg Pound. My instinct tells me Pittsburgh is capable of covering this total by themselves but will they get the need to really open the offense up? My numbers with this over is these games are played around that number and when I see these scores in December football I’ve got to go Bizarro and say they have the low number because if its not 33 then its 40. The trend in the games played at Heinz Field have been under this number 2 of 3 last meetings in Pittsburgh. The lower numbers come in with the December on the calendar as well, and I know that is where smart money has usually been because its going to be a lot of running and this won’t be as fun as making Cincinnati have the best game to lose last week. Look for a live bet instead of laying the -300 to get to even money, watch the line and get whatever you can imagine as the game flow goes.
| 12/8/241:00 PM. Steeler/Browns UNDER | 130 |
I’m gonna rate the Falcons as having a chance and with them being a huge underdog against a team who isn’t going any where after getting to the playoffs … or is this the year of the Vikings losing in the Super Bowl? I’ll take my small play on Falcons +235
The Bears with a new coach and plenty of talent on offensive side. The Niners should win but I’m gonna play a light bet on the Bears money line as the heavy dog here. They are close to looking like they had a chance. I’ll lose five bucks or get lucky here.+145
The Chargers and Chiefs matchup is going the be the leagues marquee nationwide matchup since Harbaugh arrived in LA. This means eventually he is going to get a win in the series. I’ll take my play here money line and be ok with a loss. I have seen visions of Left Tackle nightmares in the playoffs after seeing how the Raiders lined up with KC. Bosa and Mack should be able to be on the highlight reel all day. There is still the problem on how to beat the Chiefs. Mahommes is so good they took me to the mental hospital for putting all his. stats in my podcast which vs. SF is a one sided matchup, but I still picked the 49ers where I watched in a hospitals mental health jail with a cast of characters out of a movie. I’ve never seen any that good so I’ve been waiting on him to come back to being human. I’ll take the Chargers +175