Two time defending AFC Champs have faced two of the best the AFC has to offer in the first two weeks, so much for anyone figuring out how to slow them down as they have put up 34 a game. They come in a big favorite -305 ml, and laying a -7 touchdown at home, with the total at 54.5. The Chargers have played both their games at slower pace averaging 18.5 a game.
Mahomes II in 5 games vs the Chargers has 10 TD and 2 INT with a 97.5 passer rating, 4-1 win/loss with the only loss being the last one where the Chiefs were locked in homefield for playoffs and resting. The Chiefs 31-4 last 35 division games. Mahomes was undefeated in September before last Sunday nights game.
The Chargers had so many opportunities against Dallas losing by late field goal as their defense 13th in the league has played two great games. Herbert has played 13 of 17 career games decided by touchdown or less. He has 4 TD and 1 INT with a 113.6 passer rating vs the Chiefs.
So the Chiefs SU have been the best record in the NFL during Mahomes time as starter, that has caused this situation here where they are not ever giving up less than 5.5 at home. They may well be due for a cover, but we will see how well the Chargers can hold up. The Chiefs 39-2 with Mahomes as a starter when they allow less than 30 points. My prediction 31-23 Chiefs.