Chicago opened up -6 now down to -2.5, total 41.5, -145 ML, Detroit +125. I’m not sure of the reason as to why the Bears started such heavy favorites, but uncertainty at starting QB is most likely the reason for the adjustment, the Bears 32nd in offense. They have a 5-1 record vs. Detroit under Coach Nagy. Though a new team around Goff this time around, they have roughed him up in past meetings during his time in LA. 3 games, 2 TD, 5 INT, and a 59.7 passer rating. The Bears 12th in total defense, and 19th in points allowed. Andy Dalton expected to be back as the starter in two games vs. Detroit has 4 TD, 1 INT, 104.9 passer rating. Despite all the line moves seeming with momentum for the Lions the Bears have been day and night in how they have looked in their road games vs. home games.
The last meeting was 34-30 Lions won. It took a record field goal to beat the Lions last week and getting close to a win is not where their goals are for this week. Goff comes in with the highest completion percentage by a Lions QB through 3 games. They have both RB, Swift and Williams, over 200 yards from scrimmage and 2 TDs.
Without knowing what to expect from the Bears side particularly I expect most of the public will be following the line move. Early wagers 80% of the money line wagers on Detroit, and 81 % of the Side money on Detroit I expect most of that is overreaction to how well the Browns and Rams played against Chicago, as well as the Lions being hungry for their first win. The last 3 matchups between these teams would have gone over that number at 41.5. Chicago averaging 13.3 per game and 22.3 for Detroit, if the wind gets going on Sunday that may itself be a determining factor. There is your stats and I’m not even going to attempt to predict this one.