Tennessee laying what you would think would be more than -6.5 here, -275 ML, Jets +230, total at 44.5. Like all Jets games before they play them this year it has the feel of a blowout. The Jets the only team to allow over 5 rushing TD and 0 defensive scores. Beat 56-6 in their last two games, they still come in with the 9th ranked defense. 15 sacks in 3 games for Wilson, the Jets have the 30th ranked offense. -5 turnover differential, 6.7 points per game while allowing 23 per game. I could find no stat to make a case for the Jets to win or cover, but the Titans having Brown and Jones both likely out for the game, and Tannehill has 3 giveaways in 2 of 3 games this year.
For the Titans this one appears to be an easy win, but in the NFL no wins usually come easy. Henry 353 yards rushing this year will likely get a good number of carries. What does all that ad up to? The top 2 WR out, facing the 9th rank defense and the total at 44.5? Likely a relatively low scoring game where laying a touchdown on the road in the NFL may become hazardous. Depending on when they got their wager the Jets covered the closing number week 1 but not the opening one, and then not so much as close in week 2 or 3. Last year the Jets started 0-8 ATS before closing at 6-10 against the number. My prediction 20-14 Titans.