Andy Reid makes his return to Philadelphia, now with a ring and as a -7.5 favorite, total at 54.5, -318 ML, +268 Eagles. Both these teams come in 1-2, the Chiefs 0-3 against the spread. KC brings in the number 8 offense but averaging 30.7 per game. Reid’s first time back in Philly where he won 140 games. The Eagles expected to attempt to take away the big plays and make the Chiefs drive the ball. The 28th ranked defense who is giving up 31.7 a game, a key number as with Mahomes II they are 39-2 when they hold opponents under 30. KC has trailed by 10+ points in 3 of the last 4 games. They are now in last place alone for the first time since week 6 of 2015, when they went on a ten game win streak.
The Eagles run game 129.3 YPG faces what should be a good matchup in the KC defense. That run game has not converted into time of possession the Eagles 29th in that stat. Philly averaging 21.3 per game, while allowing the same number. Opposing QBs have had success as well vs Kansas City, top 2 in Fantasy last two games.
Kansas City slow starts and falling behind has kept them from meeting expectations this season. The only way I see the Eagles being able to have a chance is with an early lead. I expect Coach Reid might have had this game circled, my prediction 32-24 Chiefs.